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For nearly a century, Missouri was considered a bellwether — a leader or indicator of the political trends of the nation.
If you wanted to take the nation’s pulse, there was no better place to look than the heart of our country. Between 1904 and 2004, Missouri’s electoral votes reflected the winning presidential candidate in every single election minus Eisenhower’s re-election in 1956. Today, Missouri’s voting patterns no longer predict presidential outcomes with the same consistency they used to, but what is happening within Missouri’s systems of government is increasingly a microcosm of what is unfolding across the United States.
Missouri’s proposed Amendment 4, which is on the state’s ballots this August, is an example of a broader nationwide trend in which state legislatures and special interest groups across the country are changing the rules that govern public participation to consolidate political power, weaken accountability, and limit the public’s ability to influence decisions.
What is unfolding in Missouri reflects a broader national test of whether our civic institutions will continue to preserve meaningful public participation.
This ballot measure in Missouri seeks to alter the process for how citizen-initiated constitutional amendments are approved. If passed, Amendment 4 would replace Missouri’s longstanding simple-majority standard with additional requirements, making it substantially more difficult for citizen-led constitutional amendments to succeed.
The questions confronting Missouri today are not unique to Missourians. They are questions that communities across the country are wrestling with: Who gets to make the decisions that shape our lives? And what happens when the people and their government disagree?
Increasingly in Missouri we are witnessing decision-making about our communities becoming further removed from the people who live in them. Recently, lawmakers have taken actions to overturn voter-approved laws like the expansion of paid sick leave and protections for women’s reproductive health. And Missouri’s mid-decade redistricting effort fractured and diluted the voting power of Kansas City’s Black communities.
When people have fewer meaningful ways to influence public decisions, it becomes harder to shape the conditions that determine whether families can thrive, people can earn a living, or communities can build healthy futures.
Missouri’s initiative petition process has long served as one of the ways people can shape public policy when statewide voters and the Missouri state legislature reach different conclusions. It is part of the constitutional balance that ensures governing authority ultimately remains accountable to the people.
Amendment 4 would not eliminate that constitutional authority, but it would make exercising it nearly impossible.
Missouri is one of 26 states that uses a citizen-initiated ballot measure process. And it is not the only state facing pushback from elected officials. In South Dakota, North Dakota, Utah, and Idaho, legislators are trying to implement new requirements that would lessen the power of the citizen-led process.
In just the past decade, Missourians have used the citizen-led initiative process to overturn a near-total abortion ban, expand Medicaid eligibility, legalize recreational marijuana, increase the minimum wage, and require employers to provide earned paid sick leave. In each instance Missourians across both rural and metropolitan areas — from the least populated to the most populated parts of the state — used the initiative petition process after the Missouri state legislature declined to enact those policies or opposed them.
Whether someone agrees with every one of those outcomes is not the point.
In just the past decade, Missourians have used the citizen-led initiative process to overturn a near-total abortion ban, expand Medicaid eligibility, legalize recreational marijuana, increase the minimum wage, and require employers to provide earned paid sick leave.
The point is that these decisions were made directly by Missourians. They determined whether more families could access health care, whether workers could earn higher wages, whether someone could stay home sick without losing a paycheck, and whether Missourians could exercise greater control over deeply personal decisions. These are the kinds of questions that shape the health, stability, and vitality of communities.
The outcome of this August’s vote on Amendment 4 will shape whether people in the state will continue to have a meaningful constitutional pathway to shape decisions like these that affect their everyday lives, especially when their elected representatives choose a direction different from what most people want.
Across the country, states are adopting stricter voter registration requirements, reducing opportunities to vote, redrawing legislative and congressional districts, and criminalizing the distribution of food and water to people waiting to vote.
While these efforts have disproportionate consequences for some communities, they ultimately affect every registered voter. Each new barrier reduces the public’s ability to influence the policies that govern everyday life and shifts more power away from citizens.
What is unfolding in Missouri reflects a broader national test of whether our civic institutions will continue to preserve meaningful public participation.
Missouri’s state constitution currently reserves power not only for governing institutions but also for the people themselves. Whether that balance is preserved is now in the hands of voters, and what happens in Missouri will set a precedent with national implications.
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