Truthout is a vital news source and a living history of political struggle. If you think our work is valuable, support us with a donation of any size.
New polling data shows that the race for president between Donald Trump and Joe Biden is tightening in swing states, with Biden gaining ground in all but one of them.
The Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll measured voters’ attitudes in Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada, between the dates of March 8-15.
Biden narrowly leads Trump in just one state, Wisconsin, attaining 46 percent of support among that state’s residents versus 45 percent for the former president. In Michigan and Pennsylvania, the two candidates for 2024 are tied, receiving 45 points among voters in those two states respectively. And in Nevada, Trump leads Biden by 2 points, which is within the poll’s margin of error.
Trump leads Biden in the remaining three states: In North Carolina, he’s ahead by 6 points; in Georgia, by 7 points; and in Arizona, by 5 points.
Observed on its own, the poll suggests that the race for president in these all-important swing states will be incredibly close. But when compared to previous polling data, the poll shows that Biden is gaining momentum in the race.
Biden is now tied or slightly leading Trump in three states, with a fourth state he’s behind in being technically statistically tied. In February, however, in the same Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll, Biden was losing in all seven swing states.
When you look at the polls side by side, net support for Biden has shifted positively in all but one of those states. In Wisconsin, his support has grown by 5 points; in Pennsylvania, by 6 points; in North Carolina, by 3 points; in Michigan and Arizona, by 2 points; and in Nevada, by 4 points. Only in one state, Georgia, has Trump’s support seen a net gain and Biden’s a net loss, by 1 point.
Biden’s recent gains could help him in the Electoral College, too. If the map stays the same for all non-swing states, and if Biden wins the states where he’s currently winning or tied, he would defeat Trump in the Electoral College by a slim 270 votes to 268.
It’s unclear what has led to the dramatic shift in polling data between the two surveys. It’s possible that Biden’s State of the Union Address, which received positive marks overall, helped “bump” him up in the polls. Biden has also been on a tour of several of these swing states, making public appearances as he gears up for the general election contest.
A terrifying moment. We appeal for your support.
In the last weeks, we have witnessed an authoritarian assault on communities in Minnesota and across the nation.
The need for truthful, grassroots reporting is urgent at this cataclysmic historical moment. Yet, Trump-aligned billionaires and other allies have taken over many legacy media outlets — the culmination of a decades-long campaign to place control of the narrative into the hands of the political right.
We refuse to let Trump’s blatant propaganda machine go unchecked. Untethered to corporate ownership or advertisers, Truthout remains fearless in our reporting and our determination to use journalism as a tool for justice.
But we need your help just to fund our basic expenses. Over 80 percent of Truthout’s funding comes from small individual donations from our community of readers, and over a third of our total budget is supported by recurring monthly donors.
Truthout has launched a fundraiser, and we have a goal to add 231 new monthly donors in the next 48 hours. Whether you can make a small monthly donation or a larger one-time gift, Truthout only works with your support.