Skip to content Skip to footer

Gaza’s Population Has Plunged at Least 6 Percent in 15 Months of Genocide

The population has declined by 160,000 people since October 2023, with at least 45,000 people killed by Israeli attacks.

Palestinians inspect the damage in Gaza City's al-Zaitoun neighborhood on December 26, 2024.

Palestinian officials have estimated that Gaza’s population has plunged by 6 percent in the past 15 months as a result of Israel’s genocide, with over 200,000 people having fled the territory or been killed or injured by Israeli forces.

In a report released this week by the Palestinian Central Bureau of Statistics (PCBS), officials say that the Gaza population is now estimated to be 2.1 million, down at least 160,000 people from the pre-October 7, 2023, population count.

The official death toll is currently over 45,000 people, including 17,500 children. PCBS estimates that there are 11,000 Palestinians missing and presumed dead, while at least 100,000 have fled the besieged region. Israeli attacks have injured another 107,000 Palestinians, according to Gaza officials’ counts.

The decline in population, amounting to nearly a full percentage decrease once every 10 weeks on average, is a horrific show of Israel’s genocidal brutality — which has also encompassed the destruction of Gaza’s infrastructure, economy and prospects for the future.

Further, experts have long said that these estimates are extremely conservative, with officials often unable to account for all of the dead from an attack and relying solely on deaths from strikes reported by hospitals. Other deaths, like those to famine and disease, are largely excluded from the death toll.

But experts have warned that deaths from causes like starvation could majorly overshadow those from Israeli strikes and gunfire. Doctors who have served in Gaza have estimated that the true death toll is at least 119,000, if not over 300,000; using the same method as the estimate of direct and indirect deaths calculated by researchers in a landmark commentary in The Lancet, the true toll could now be well over 225,000 people.

The estimated number of people missing and presumed dead under the rubble has also remained largely unchanged for nearly 10 months now, even as Israel has continued bombing and destroying buildings; the Israeli military has even blocked rescue missions from entering northern Gaza to search for survivors under the rubble amid its current ethnic cleansing campaign there.

“Cities became rubble and bombs branded the houses, walls, memory and pages of history with destruction, as entire neighborhoods became history, entire families were erased from the civil register. There are catastrophic human and material losses, yet this aggressive, brutal Israeli aggression against all of Gaza Strip continues,” PCBS wrote in its report.

There is a growing international consensus among experts and humanitarian groups that Israel is committing genocide or, at least, genocidal acts in Gaza.

Last month, Amnesty International found in a sprawling report that Israel’s assault has violated at least three of the five acts prohibited in the Genocide Convention, including killing members of the group, causing physical and mental harm to the group, and deliberately inflicting conditions brought about to harm the group. The group said that Israeli officials have displayed clear intent to commit genocide throughout the assault.

Meanwhile, two other major human rights groups also found last month that Israel has been committing acts of genocide in Gaza. Human Rights Watch said that Israel’s deprivation of water to Gaza is an act of genocide, while Médecins Sans Frontières highlighted Israel’s destruction of Gaza’s health care system.

We’re not backing down in the face of Trump’s threats.

As Donald Trump is inaugurated a second time, independent media organizations are faced with urgent mandates: Tell the truth more loudly than ever before. Do that work even as our standard modes of distribution (such as social media platforms) are being manipulated and curtailed by forces of fascist repression and ruthless capitalism. Do that work even as journalism and journalists face targeted attacks, including from the government itself. And do that work in community, never forgetting that we’re not shouting into a faceless void – we’re reaching out to real people amid a life-threatening political climate.

Our task is formidable, and it requires us to ground ourselves in our principles, remind ourselves of our utility, dig in and commit.

As a dizzying number of corporate news organizations – either through need or greed – rush to implement new ways to further monetize their content, and others acquiesce to Trump’s wishes, now is a time for movement media-makers to double down on community-first models.

At Truthout, we are reaffirming our commitments on this front: We won’t run ads or have a paywall because we believe that everyone should have access to information, and that access should exist without barriers and free of distractions from craven corporate interests. We recognize the implications for democracy when information-seekers click a link only to find the article trapped behind a paywall or buried on a page with dozens of invasive ads. The laws of capitalism dictate an unending increase in monetization, and much of the media simply follows those laws. Truthout and many of our peers are dedicating ourselves to following other paths – a commitment which feels vital in a moment when corporations are evermore overtly embedded in government.

Over 80 percent of Truthout‘s funding comes from small individual donations from our community of readers, and the remaining 20 percent comes from a handful of social justice-oriented foundations. Over a third of our total budget is supported by recurring monthly donors, many of whom give because they want to help us keep Truthout barrier-free for everyone.

You can help by giving today. Whether you can make a small monthly donation or a larger gift, Truthout only works with your support.